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Hi folks. I am travelling today and will be unable to post an outlook for the coming session. There will be no update tomorrow and next week will be intermittent, depending on internet access. Normal service will be resumed on 4 August....

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It is Friday afternoon and there will probably be very little interest to get too involved today ahead of the weekend, particularly in light of what happened this morning, but here is a trade idea for next week. Although being short of Sterling has not been a ...

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FX Charts Daily Report

  • 24 July. Due to travelling today, there will be no update.
    July 24, 2014 07:36AM
    Hi folks. I am travelling today and will be unable to post an outlook for the coming session. There will be no update tomorrow and next week will be intermittent, depending on internet access. Normal service will be resumed on 4 August.
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  • 23 July: US$ firm after US data. Focus today on Australian CPI, BOE Minutes.
    July 23, 2014 08:33AM
    The dollar remains bid against the majors today after breaking through an important technical level against the Euro, and looks as though it is building the momentum for a bigger move over the coming weeks. Stronger housing data helped bond yields to head higher and underpinned the view that the US economy is expanding enough for the Fed to raise interest rates next year. Elsewhere, easing tensions with Russia allowed stocks to rebound. Today's focus will be on the Australian CPI and then later on the BOE Minutes. That aside it will be pretty thin on the data front and focus will remain on Russia etc.
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  • 22 July: Political tensions keep “risk” assets on the defensive. US CPI today.
    July 22, 2014 07:45AM
    It was a rather quiet day on all fronts, with the general theme being one of risk avoidance as traders look to political manoeuvres for guidance and it would appear that we are in for more of the same today. Risk events will come from RBA speeches from both Stevens and Debelle, after which there is little to go on until the release of the US CPI later in the day. Another quiet one looks likely.
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  • 21-26 July: US$ starting to look as if it could be in for a move to higher ground.
    July 21, 2014 07:24AM
    It was a volatile session on Friday with currencies, equities and commodities all seeing decent moves. While the Ukraine plane crash remains in focus the price action will most likely stay choppy with direction coming from political soundbites. The dollar looks as though it may be building for a move higher, but while the holiday season is in full swing we may need to wait a bit longer. A stronger US CPI (Tues) and or/ weaker EU PMI's (Thur) may be the catalyst to help it on its way. Other highlights will include the Australian CPI (Tues), BOE Minutes (Wed), RBNZ Meeting (Thur), Japan CPI and US Durable Goods (Fri). Have a good week.
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  • 18 Jul: Safe haven demand back in focus after plane shot down.
    July 18, 2014 08:03AM
    It was a day of safe haven demand following the shooting down of the plane over the Ukraine and then the launching of Israeli military ground operations in Gaza. The big movers have been Gold, Silver and Oil, while in the currency markets the Yen is seeing good demand. Risk assets including the Aud and Kiwi are lower, in line with the weak close in the US equity markets. In the absence of any major economic data today it looks as though politics will be the main focus and any moves are likely to be centred on position squaring ahead of the weekend.
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  • 17 July: US$ firmer on rate speculation following Yellen comments.
    July 17, 2014 08:16AM
    The dollar is generally stronger today as the market ponders Janet Yellen's comments of the previous day. The coming session looks to be fairly tight given the comparative lack of data, although the EU Inflation numbers may cause some volatility if the data differs markedly from expectations. Australia get the NAB Business Conditions, while later in the US we get the Building Permits, Housing Starts.
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  • 16 Jul: US$ rallies on upbeat Yellen outlook. Cable higher after strong CPI.
    July 16, 2014 08:47AM
    It was a choppy session, with both the EU ZEW and the US retail sales missing expectations, but the focus, was on Janet Yellen's testimony. Her early assertion that an easy monetary policy is still necessary sent the dollar lower, only for it to turn sharply higher in the Q&A when she suggested that if the improvement in the jobs data accelerates, policy could be then tightened quite quickly. Today's highlights will be in Asia with release of the China Q2 GDP, Retail Sales and Industrial Production. Before then we get the NZ Q2 CPI. Later on the UK Jobs data and then US PPI, Industrial Production will come into focus.
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